SOUTH IRAQ SECURITY REPORT: NOVEMBER 2018

This is November’s edition of my south Iraq SIGACT monitoring report. November has seen an uptick in activity across several categories (including tribal fighting, kidnapping, and protest activity). Monitoring captured a total of 66 incidents (up from 42 in October). There has been a marked increase in protest activity towards the end of November (continuing

SOUTH IRAQ SECURITY REPORT: OCTOBER 2018

This is October’s edition of my south Iraq SIGACT monitoring report. October has been a relatively quiet month because of the Arbaeen celebrations. Monitoring captured a total of 42 incidents, down from 103 in September. There were 15 killed and 12 injured in October in 29 violent incidents (tribal fighting and serious violent incidents), a

SOUTH IRAQ SECURITY REPORT: SEPTEMBER 2018

This is September’s edition of my south Iraq SIGACT monitoring report. September saw another explosion in protest activity, this time concentrated in Basra province. Monitoring captured 124 total incidents. Of these, 103 were protest incidents. I am now in PhD thesis writing mode, so only have time to dump the data without any additional analysis.

South Iraq Security Report: June 2018

This is June’s edition of my south Iraq SIGACT monitoring and analysis report. Monitoring in June captured a total of 78 incidents, 15 killed, and 23 injured. This represents a significant increase in incidents and rates of violence from the previous month when there was 53 incidents, 15 killed, and 10 injured. As I outlined in May’s report, the previous month had seen rates of

South Iraq Security Report: October 2017

This is October’s edition of my Iraq SIGACT monitoring and analysis report focused on the south (Basra, Muthanna, Dhi Qar, and Maysan). The data collection parameters for recorded incidents are as follows: > Serious violent crime (e.g. armed car robbery. Violent incidents for which motives are not clear are placed into this category). > Tribal

South Iraq Security Report: September 2017

This is September’s edition of my Iraq SIGACT monitoring and analysis report focused on the south (Basra, Muthanna, Dhi Qar, and Maysan). The data collection parameters for recorded incidents are as follows: > Serious violent crime (e.g. armed car robbery) > Tribal fighting > Terrorism (this includes attacks by militia groups and intra-militia violence) >

Translation: Muqtada al-Sadr, a coup, and democracy.

Muqtada al-Sadr was recently asked by one of his followers to clarify whether he would seek to topple the Iraqi government in a forceful coup and install a new government. Perhaps more interesting than the overt question about coups was how the question was framed, the underlying reference to Mohammed Baqir al-Sadr’s political vision which