This is August’s edition of my south Iraq SIGACT monitoring report. August saw a reduction in the rates of protest compared with July, but there was a renewed explosion of activity towards the end of the month and continuing into September. Monitoring captured 84 total incidents, down from 118 in July. Of these, 60 were


This is July’s edition of my south Iraq SIGACT monitoring and analysis report. July saw an explosion in the rate and scale of protest activity across the south. Provincial council buildings were stormed in several provinces, and the offices of political parties and militias were also attacked. Monitoring captured a total of 118 incidents of

South Iraq Security Report: June 2018

This is June’s edition of my south Iraq SIGACT monitoring and analysis report. Monitoring in June captured a total of 78 incidents, 15 killed, and 23 injured. This represents a significant increase in incidents and rates of violence from the previous month when there was 53 incidents, 15 killed, and 10 injured. As I outlined in May’s report, the previous month had seen rates of

Translation: Iraqi Communist Party (ICP) Statement on Alliance with Fatih (13 June 2018)

Below is a quick translation of the statement put out by the ICP with respect to the announcement of an alliance between Muqtada al-Sadr and Fatih’s Hadi al-‘Ameri:   Statement of the Iraqi Communist Party (ICP) concerning the announcement of the alliance between Sa’iroun and Fatih. Adhering to the national project for change and reform.

Link to my Washington Post (Monkey Cage) article: “Why many failed to predict the leftist-Islamist alliance that won Iraq’s 2018 elections”

Link to my article for the Monkey Cage which draws some theoretical insights from the Sadrist-ICP electoral coalition. It looks at the question of societal weakness in Iraq within the broader framework of the Arab Spring.

Putting some questions to the ICP. Short note on ICP negotiating strategy/thinking following May’s elections.

Sa’iroun, the alliance between the Islamist Sadrist movement, the Iraqi Communist Party (ICP) and several smaller secular parties, emerged from last month’s elections as the largest coalition with 54 seats. However, the ICP gained only two seats: Raid Fahmi, ICP Sec. Gen., in Baghdad; and Haifaa al-Amin in Nasiriyah (Dhi Qar province). Negotiations among the


This is May’s edition of my south Iraq SIGACT monitoring and analysis. Monitoring in May captured a total of 53 incidents, 15 killed, and 10 injured. This month’s edition focuses on data, highlighting the return to high levels of violence and tribal fighting following significant security operations both in February and surrounding the elections. In