Link to my Washington Post (Monkey Cage) article: “Why many failed to predict the leftist-Islamist alliance that won Iraq’s 2018 elections”

Link to my article for the Monkey Cage which draws some theoretical insights from the Sadrist-ICP electoral coalition. It looks at the question of societal weakness in Iraq within the broader framework of the Arab Spring.

Putting some questions to the ICP. Short note on ICP negotiating strategy/thinking following May’s elections.

Sa’iroun, the alliance between the Islamist Sadrist movement, the Iraqi Communist Party (ICP) and several smaller secular parties, emerged from last month’s elections as the largest coalition with 54 seats. However, the ICP gained only two seats: Raid Fahmi, ICP Sec. Gen., in Baghdad; and Haifaa al-Amin in Nasiriyah (Dhi Qar province). Negotiations among the

SOUTH IRAQ SECURITY REPORT: May 2018

This is May’s edition of my south Iraq SIGACT monitoring and analysis. Monitoring in May captured a total of 53 incidents, 15 killed, and 10 injured. This month’s edition focuses on data, highlighting the return to high levels of violence and tribal fighting following significant security operations both in February and surrounding the elections. In

The Sadrist-Communist Alliance And Iraq’s 2018 Elections: Interview for Musings on Iraq

Below is a link to an interview I did with Joel Wing for his blog Musings on Iraq. The interview presents my reflections on the victory of the Sa’iroun list which brought together the Sadrists and the Iraqi Communist Party (ICP) in an unlikely alliance. This is just a snapshot of a broader research project

SOUTH IRAQ SECURITY REPORT: April 2018

April’s edition of my south Iraq SIGACT monitoring and analysis. Monitoring in April captured a total of 55 incidents, 15 killed, and 17 injured. Monitoring parameters were as follows: > Serious violent incidents > Tribal fighting > Terrorism > Protest activity > Kidnapping > Arms trafficking > Maritime incidents SIGACT MAP: South Iraq April 2018

SOUTH IRAQ SECURITY REPORT: March 2018

March’s edition of my south Iraq SIGACT monitoring and analysis including 3D video map, SIGACT Map, and incident report pivot table. Monitoring in March captured a total of 48 incidents, 7 killed, and 9 injured. Monitoring parameters were as follows: > Serious violent incidents > Tribal fighting > Terrorism > Protest activity > Kidnapping >

SOUTH IRAQ SECURITY REPORT: FEBRUARY 2018

February’s edition of my south Iraq SIGACT monitoring and analysis includes a new feature, Video Tours of the data. Incidents have been visualised on a 3D map that can be viewed as video below. The SIGACT Map and Incident Report Pivot Table remain as before. Monitoring parameters were as follows: > Serious violent incidents >

South Iraq Security Report: 6 month “Data Edition” (August-Jan)

In this special “Data Edition” of my monthly reporting on security incidents across southern Iraq (Basra, Muthanna, Dhi Qar, Maysan and Wasit), I’ve collated all the data gathered thus far into a single interactive map, pivot table and a number of graphs. Readers can explore and utilise data that captures the previous 6 months (August

South Iraq Security Report: December 2017

This is December’s edition of my Iraq SIGACT monitoring and analysis report focused on the south (now including Wasit). I have started to increase the number of images and videos related to incidents which are now attached to incident reports on the SIGACT map. The data collection parameters for recorded incidents are as follows: >