SOUTH IRAQ SECURITY AND PROTEST DYNAMICS REPORT: JUNE 2019

This is June’s edition of my south Iraq SIGACT monitoring report covering the provinces of Basra, Maysan, Dhi Qar and Muthanna. Starting this month I am experimenting with extending my coverage to Diwaniyah. SIGACT map, pivot table, and protest tables are available below. Protest tables now include grievance table (providing a snapshot of grievances expressed by protesters).

I recorded 92 total incidents in June, a big jump up from 54 in May. This was driven primarily by a significant increase in protest activity. However, as the protest tables below make clear, these protests remain fairly small scale and nonviolent for the most part.

I recorded 51 protest incidents during June across south Iraq. This compares with the 25 incidents I recorded in June 2018, the month before major civil unrest broke out in July 2018. Even accounting for improvements in my data collection, this seems like a significant uptick in protest activity in a year-on-year comparison.

As with other recent posts, I am currently focusing on the final months of PhD thesis writing, and so don’t have time to present a detailed analysis of the data. The map and tables for June can be explored below.

SIGACT MAP: South Iraq June 2019 (Click “View larger map” for full functionality)

PIVOT TABLE: South Iraq June 2019

PROTEST TABLES: South Iraq June 2019

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